Juventus full back Dani Alves fractured his leg during Sunday’s Serie A match against Genoa, the Italian champions said on their website.Brazilian Alves, 33, moved to Italian champions Juve this term on a two-year contract after eight seasons with Barcelona.Juventus defender Leonardo Bonucci was substituted due to a thigh injury during the 3-1 loss at Genoa and will undergo tests to determine the extent of the problem.Juve, bidding for a sixth Serie A title in a row, lead the standings by four points from AS Roma and AC Milan.
Several projects are currently in progress or scheduled for action in the Denham Town Zone of Special Operations (ZOSO), in Kingston.This is according to a Ministry Paper tabled recently in the House of Representatives by Prime Minister, the Most Hon. Andrew Holness.To this end, the Zinc Fence Substitution and Integrated Infrastructure Project is targeting the substitution of over 1,000 metres of zinc fence, of which 923 metres have been completed to date, and work continues on 120 metres.“Thirty persons have benefitted from part-time employment as both skilled and unskilled labour. The objective of the project is to have 100 per cent substitution of zinc fence in the community,” the Ministry Paper said.Regarding the Infrastructure Improvement Project, this will facilitate water, sewerage and road improvement throughout Denham Town, which will significantly improve the quality of infrastructure in the community. Upon completion of the approval process, the project will be executed over a nine-month period.Meanwhile, the Incentive Programme for Proper Management of Solid Waste is still under active implementation with the Community Based Organisations, the environment wardens and the National Solid Waste Management Authority (NSWMA) as partners.The Ministry Paper noted that the programme will provide incentives, including a new compactor unit to the NSWMA for proper collection and disposal of garbage in the community.To support the Jamaica Constabulary Force (JCF) Community Safety Branch, the Jamaica Social Investment Fund (JSIF) has developed the Integrated Community Development Safety Project.“The project will include training to the JCF in customer service, human rights, and communication, undertake stakeholder consultations, and develop a community safety manual. This will inform the appropriate structure for neighbourhood watch schemes, and support community youth groups with grants to develop their programmes,” the Ministry Paper said.Prime Minister Holness declared Denham Town a ZOSO on October 17, 2017, under the Law Reform (Zones of Special Operations) (Special Security and Community Development Measures) Act.The law seeks to contain crime while safeguarding the human rights of residents and promoting community development through social intervention initiatives in communities where a zone operates. To this end, the Zinc Fence Substitution and Integrated Infrastructure Project is targeting the substitution of over 1,000 metres of zinc fence, of which 923 metres have been completed to date, and work continues on 120 metres. This is according to a Ministry Paper tabled recently in the House of Representatives by Prime Minister, the Most Hon. Andrew Holness. Several projects are currently in progress or scheduled for action in the Denham Town Zone of Special Operations (ZOSO), in Kingston. Story Highlights
After one of the most astonishing score lines in the history of the World Cup on Tuesday — Germany 7, Brazil 1 — nothing that happens in Sunday’s World Cup final would be a total surprise. But we do have estimates of the most likely final scores for the game.Germany is a 63 percent favorite to defeat Argentina, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast. Argentina had a slightly higher Soccer Power Index (SPI) rating when the tournament began, but Germany has seen its rating rise, particularly after its thrashing of Brazil, and it now ranks No. 1 by some margin. Betting lines also have Germany favored.The SPI match predictor allows us to predict the number of goals scored and allowed for each club. It calls for 1.7 goals by Germany and 1.2 by Argentina.There are a couple of problems with this — for one thing, a team cannot score seven-tenths of a goal. So the match predictor uses a version of a Poisson distribution, which calculates the probability of the teams finishing with any whole-number score. For example, if Germany scores an average of 1.7 goals, how often does it score exactly two goals or exactly three goals? That’s what a Poisson distribution does.Another issue is that the match predictor is calibrated on the basis of 90-minute matches when knockout-round games can go to extra time. To account for extra-time results, we ran an additional Poisson regression based on the results of extra-time games in major international tournaments since 2005. (In geek speak, we’re nesting a Poisson distribution within another Poisson distribution.) All of that produces the following heat map:Read left to right for Germany’s score and top to bottom for Argentina’s. Boxes in which the score is still tied after extra time represent cases where the game goes to penalty kicks (there is about a 14 percent chance of this happening). The 10 most probable scores are as follows:Germany 2, Argentina 1Germany 1, Argentina 0Argentina 2, Germany 1Germany 2, Argentina 0Argentina 1, Germany 0Germany 3, Argentina 11-1 draw (game goes to penalties)Germany 3, Argentina 2Germany 3, Argentina 0Argentina 2, Germany 0What are the odds of another 7-1 scoreline? The model says there is only about a 0.06 percent probability of such a score favoring Germany (about one chance in 1,600). There’s even less of a chance — more than 10,000-to-1 against — of the same score favoring Argentina.But these figures may underestimate the chance of astonishingly lopsided results. The mathematical basis for the Poisson distribution is the assumption of independent trials. This is a little inexact (it describes a special case of a Poisson distribution called a binomial distribution), but a Poisson distribution is treating a soccer game something like this:Suppose we expect Germany to score 1.7 goals on average in a 90-minute game against Argentina. That translates into about a 2 percent probability (1 chance in 50) of scoring a goal in a given minute of play.So we can run an experiment where we randomly draw ping-pong balls from a set of 90 lottery machines, one representing each minute of the game. In each machine, there are 50 balls, one labeled GOAL! and 49 blanks. The probability of drawing a GOAL! from one machine doesn’t affect what happens with the next one. (This is the assumption of independent trials.) After we’ve drawn balls from all 90 machines, we count the number of GOAL! balls. This represents how often Germany scored in the game.We can repeat the experiment a bunch of times. Most commonly, we’ll wind up with something like one or two GOAL! balls. But other times we’ll have drawn zero or four or six. The relative frequency of these outcomes represents the Poisson distribution for Germany’s score.As strange as this experiment might seem, it isn’t a bad mathematical approximation of a soccer game. And for the most part, Poisson distributions do a good job of modeling real-world soccer scores.But there are some complications. For instance, we may have some estimate of how the absences of Neymar and Thiago Silva might affect Germany’s chances of scoring against Brazil. But there is some uncertainty around that: Maybe Brazil plays more fluidly when it isn’t waiting around for Neymar to do something, or maybe it breaks down. This is equivalent to not knowing exactly how many GOAL! balls and blanks there are in the ping-pong machines. This uncertainty will tend to slightly increase the number of extreme outcomes (Germany scoring zero goals or a lot of goals) that we observe in the real world.Another issue is that the texture of play in soccer depends to some extent on the scoreline. Play is usually tighter and more conservative in a drawn game and then opens up once the tie is broken. As a result, standard Poisson distributions slightly underestimate the chance of draws and of some wild scores, such as 5-2. (The variant of the Poisson distribution that we use is meant to address this problem.)For the most part in sports, these complications are not worth worrying about. There are cases where a Poisson distribution or a normal distribution isn’t perfect — normal distributions seem to slightly underestimate the number of extreme outlier scores in sports — but they usually hold up reasonably well. Nobody gets hurt when you say that Germany has only a 1-in-4,000 chance of winning by six goals when it actually had a 1-in-400 chance.But real-world distributions are often slightly fat-tailed, meaning that extreme outliers happen more often than the normal distribution predicts. And — outside the sports world — using the wrong model can cause real problems, underestimating the chance of an earthquake or a financial crisis.
City of Chula Vista hosts Active Shooter Preparedness and Response presentation 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave SettingsCHULA VISTA (KUSI) — In an on-going effort to keep its residents safe, the City of Chula Vista hosted another Active Shooter Preparedness and Response presentation Monday evening.Last year, the City hosted two well-attended Active Shooter presentations which included a Stop the Bleed training aspect.Presentations were given by the Chula Vista Police Department, the Chula Vista Fire Department, and CERT members.At this free event, participants learned how to prepare for an active shooter situation.An active shooter is an individual engaged in killing or attempting to kill people in a confined and populated area; and in most cases, active shooters use a firearm. Active shooter situations are unpredictable and evolve quickly.Typically, the immediate deployment of law enforcement is required to stop an active shooting. Because active shooter situations are often over within 10 to 15 minutes, before law enforcement arrives on the scene, individuals must be prepared to deal with the situation.Participants also learned how to help others after an active shooter situation. In many cases, victims need someone to help stop the bleeding and the presentation will teach participants how to control or stop the bleeding until help arrives. Ashlie Rodriguez Posted: April 16, 2018 Categories: Local San Diego News FacebookTwitter Updated: 11:09 PM April 16, 2018 Ashlie Rodriguez,
Dan Cohen AUTHOR Many of the organizational changes within DOD stemming from the Feb. 1 split of the undersecretary for acquisition, technology and logistics office into two smaller organizations should be in place by the end of the first quarter of 2019, one year ahead of schedule, Ellen Lord, undersecretary for acquisition and sustainment, told Defense News. “I believe those last critical slots — a lot of [deputy assistant secretary of defense] slots, a few director slots — will all be filled by March of ’19. We’re excited to get going on the work,” Lord said. Under the restructuring, the individual components that now make up the office of the assistant secretary of defense (ASD) for energy, installations and environment will be shifted to a newly created ASD for sustainment. … A group of senior Democrats have asked Defense Secretary Jim Mattis to reject a request from the Department of Homeland Security to allocate $450 million in military construction funds to construct a new border barrier system along a 31-mile section of the Barry M. Goldwater Range in southwest Arizona. “It is utterly irresponsible and appalling that President Trump wants to take away funding for military readiness and infrastructure in order to spend it on his border wall,” Rep. Adam Smith (Wash.), ranking member on House Armed Services, said Thursday in a statement. DOD intends to reinforce an estimated 31 miles of fencing “with an additional 30-foot barrier that includes an all-weather patrol road, and vehicle and pedestrian access gates, enhancements which have proven successful along other parts of the southern border,” a Pentagon spokesman said, reported Stars and Stripes.DoD photo by EJ Hersom